EU’s warning to Malta: adopt concrete measures to back up budget
Malta has been urged to take additional measures that will prevent slippages from its deficit-reduction and hasten its pension reform, the European Commission warned in a report released on Monday.
After having had its bond ratings downgraded to A2 from A1 by Moody’s, which also changed Malta’s economic outlook to ‘negative’, the EC said Malta must correct its excessive deficit and adopt concrete measures to back up its 2012 deficit target.
Malta was also urged to take action to ensure the sustainability of the pension system. Specifically, the EC said Malta must accelerate the progressive increase in retirement age and link it to life expectancy.
It also recommended that it accompanies the higher statutory retirement age with a comprehensive active ageing strategy, discourage the use of early retirement schemes and encourage private pension savings.
The EC said Malta must keeping bringing down its high public debt and push the deficit to below 3% of GDP in a “binding, rule-based” framework.
According to Malta’s plans, its deficit must be brought down from 3.6% of GDP in 2010 to below 3% in 2011. It should then proceed towards a balanced budget mainly by decreasing government’s recurrent spending, although this unlikely to happen in the medium-term.
Government debt is projected to decline from its 2010 peak of 68% of GDP to 63.7% in 2014.
“Budgetary outcomes could be worse than targeted because of possible expenditure overruns and the lack of information on the measures underpinning the consolidation effort after 2011,” the EC said.
“Pursuing fiscal consolidation to achieve the medium-term objective is a key challenge for Malta. While the budget for 2011 put in place measures to correct the excessive deficit in 2011, additional action would be required in case of slippages.
“The credibility of the medium-term consolidation strategy, which is not yet underpinned by concrete measures, would be enhanced by a stronger multi-annual budgetary framework. A key weakness is the nonbinding nature of the multi-annual targets, which implies a relatively short fiscal planning horizon. The Stability Programme states that the introduction of an expenditure rule is being considered.”
In February 2010, the European Council reviewed excessive deficit procedures it opened in July 2009 after it considered that Malta had taken effective action in compliance with Council recommendations.
But following unexpected adverse economic events with major unfavourable consequences, on recommendation from the Commission the European Council adopted new recommendations under, extending the deadline for correcting the excessive deficit by one year.
The Commission also considered that Malta had taken effective action in compliance with the February 2010 Council recommendations. Developments in the budget balance were judged to be on course for a timely correction of the excessive deficits.