Eurozone economy forecast to shrink in 2012
Team of UK economists predicts the eurozone economy will shrink 0.6% in 2012 if the euro debt crisis is solved.
The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) said the eurozone economy would shrink 0.6% in 2012 if the euro debt crisis is solved or 2% if it is not. Europe is expected to suffer a "lost decade" of low growth following a credit binge over the past 20 years. Paying back debts over a short timescale will restrict growth and prevent many countries from recovering the output lost in the banking crash for many years.
However the EU, remains the world's largest collective trading bloc, though a recession next year is expected to hit global growth. Forecasts by CEBR show global growth falling to 2.5% in 2012, a downward revision from the forecast made in September 2011.
China is forecast to grow by 7.6% and India by 6%. However other recent rising economies are likely to face an economic slowdown with Turkey's growth slowing to 2.5% from 7.1% in 2011, Saudi Arabia at 4% from 6.1% this year, Russia 2.8% from 3.8% this year, and Brazil 2.5% from 2.8% this year.
According to CEBR, Brazil has now overtaken the UK as the world's sixth-largest economy. The international financial crisis has demoted the UK's economy to seventh place in 2011, behind South America's largest economy, which has boomed on the back of exports to the US, Argentina, China and the Asian market.
Brazil has a population of about 200 million, three times the population of the UK. Brazil's exports in 2010 totalled $201.9bn. Brazil's main exports include manufactured goods, iron ore, soybeans, coffee, wheat, rice and other agricultural produce. The economy was predicted to grow by growth of 3.5% in 2011.
Russia and India are also expected to overtake the UK's economy. The CEBR said that Russia moved up one spot in its league table to ninth and predicted that it would rise to fourth spot by 2020. India, the world's 10th biggest economy in 2011, will become the fifth largest by 2020.
CEBR chief executive Douglas McWilliams said: "Brazil has beaten the European countries at soccer for a long time, but beating them at economics is a new phenomenon. Our world economic league table shows how the economic map is changing, with Asian countries and commodity-producing economies climbing up the league while we in Europe fall back."